Here’s the thing: Liverpool have made the best start to a Premier League season in the club’s history, with 54 points from a possible 60 and an unbeaten record after 20 games.
With a record like that, they should, in theory, run away with the title.
But here’s why Manchester City will retain their Premier League crown and continue the Reds’ endless wait for top-flight glory.
1. Seven points could become four on Thursday – and that’s nothing
Despite three defeats in four games, including shock losses to Crystal Palace and Leicester, City could still find themselves just four points adrift of Liverpool with victory on Thursday night.
Given Liverpool have enjoyed their best ever start and City are supposedly crumbling, that really isn’t a big margin.
Latest Football News
Man United fan tells talkSPORT he 'will emigrate if Liverpool win the league'
Pogba sends another 'caption this' message after Shelvey gets away with horror tackle
Klopp's remarkable record against Guardiola ahead of Man City vs Liverpool
Ozil wants Arsenal stay for rest of contract and 'maybe longer', agent reveals
'STILL THE BEST'
Jurgen Klopp pays Manchester City huge compliment ahead of crunch match
Penalty drama and Gerrard team talks – classic Man City v Liverpool matches
Sarri 'didn't know anything' about Chelsea signing Pulisic before deal was announced
Eriksen's stall tactics could force Spurs into selling this summer
2. Sergio Aguero and Kevin De Bruyne are back
Injuries can change the dynamic of a title race. Liverpool have been incredibly fortunate thus far, while Man City certainly haven’t.
They are better suited to deal with the loss of a big player than Liverpool: prolonged injuries to Mohamed Salah or Virgil van Dijk would spell panic at Anfield.
But City have managed to stay in touch despite their injury crisis, and once De Bruyne and Aguero are firing on all cylinders, expect them to be unstoppable once more.
3. Man City know the drill
Pep Guardiola has a squad full of players who have been there and done it.
In fact, they’ve been in this exact scenario before, when they overtook Liverpool to seal the 2014 title despite the Reds being overwhelming favourites.
They’ve had their wobble now, whereas Liverpool are yet to experience a crisis of any sort.
4. Liverpool struggle to get over the line
Conversely, Liverpool really don’t know how to get the job done at all.
Only twice in the last ten years has a team failed to win the Premier League after being top at Christmas… and it was Liverpool both times (2008/09 and 2013/14).
We all remember Steven Gerrard’s infamous slip as Brendan Rodgers’ grip on the title began to loosen, and Jurgen Klopp faces the ominous-looking visit of Chelsea during his team’s run-in.
5. Even Jurgen Klopp fancies Man City
“Only City can stop City to be honest. We have to play our own game and get as many points as possible,” Klopp said.
And he’s right. On their day, nobody can stop City, not even one of the best Liverpool teams in the club’s history. They just have too much quality.
That said, if the Reds were to win on Thursday night and stretch their lead to ten points, I’m sure Klopp would change his tune.